Mexico x South Africa goal statistics
Goal analysis, xG and over/under 2.5 — World Cup 2026
Goal statistics and prediction calculator for Mexico national football team vs South Africa national football team at the 2026 World Cup. Compare goal averages, xG and over/under rates, then simulate your own Mexico x South Africa prediction with market odds.
Mexico x South Africa goal stats
| Statistic | Mexico | South Africa |
|---|---|---|
| Games analyzed | 10 | 10 |
| Avg goals/game | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| xG | 1.43 | 1.65 |
| xGA | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Recent form | W W D W L | W D L L W |
How the prediction calculator works
The calculator runs thousands of simulations from each team's xG and xGA, then calibrates the result with the market odds you enter for the 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goal lines.
The output includes over/under probabilities, the betting value per line and a suggested stake (% of bankroll).
Create a free account to get bonus tokens and run the analysis.
Teams and group
Mexico stats · South Africa stats · All teams stats
See kickoff time, venue and the Mexico x South Africa prediction
Stats for other World Cup 2026 matches on 06/11
Frequently asked questions
How does the Mexico x South Africa prediction calculator work?
The calculator runs simulations from each team's xG and calibrates the result with market odds, producing over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 probabilities, the betting value and a suggested stake.
Which Mexico and South Africa goal statistics are available?
Goal averages, xG and xGA, over 1.5 and over 2.5 rates and recent form of the Mexico national football team and the South Africa national football team. Mexico: avg 2.9 goals/game, over 2.5 in 60%. South Africa: avg 3.1 goals/game, over 2.5 in 60%.
What does over/under 2.5 goals mean in Mexico x South Africa?
Over 2.5 is a bet on 3 or more goals in the match; under 2.5, on 2 goals or fewer. The calculator estimates the probability of each scenario for Mexico x South Africa. Current over 2.5 tendency: 48%.
Do both teams score in Mexico x South Africa?
Both teams to score (BTTS) bets on each side finding the net. Compare the goal averages and over 2.5 rates of Mexico and South Africa above to gauge the tendency — current over 2.5 tendency is 48%.
Is the prediction calculator free?
Yes — just create a free GolStats account to get bonus tokens and run the Mexico x South Africa analysis.